Posts Tagged ‘Betting’

Free Poker Online Swift Quick Guide To Implied Odds And How You Use Simple Math To Calculate Them

In this free poker lessons online article we look at the poker math area of implied odds and how you can use it when playing tight aggressive poker.

In the last 2 articles we looked at Outs and Pot Odds. See the link at the bottom of this page to find them.

Pot odds are of most use where there is no future play in a hand, that is you are in the final win or lose stage. For spots where there’s future play, there’s another (slightly) more complex concept, called implied odds.

Working out implied odds is trying to figure how much value our hand may have in the future if we hit it.

Lets look at an example using deep stacks.

> Let’s say we’re HU against an opponent and we’re each 10,000bbs deep and have 9 flush outs.

> Our opponent raises to 3bb preflop and we call.

> We flop a 4 flush.

> Our opponent bets pot (6bb).

> We have only an 18% or so chance to hit on the Turn if our 9 flush outs are good and we have pot odds of 1-1 so by Pot Odds we should fold.

Implied odds, however, are attempting to estimate our future value when we do hit.

> Let’s say we call and hit the turn.

> On the turn, our opponent bets pot again (now 18bb, 6bb due to preflop action plus his 6bb bet on the flop and our 6bb call).

> We flat again.

> The opponent pots River, that’s 54bb now and you raise to 150bb and get called by the opponents Top Pair.

While you didn’t have pot odds to call at the flop you did so anyway for the possibility of winning a much bigger pot if you hit at the turn or river due to your opponents bets.

Against an opponent who will be aggressively betting the turn and river a high percentage of the time, we can definitely call the flop bet (and maybe even the turn bet) even when we know we don’t have the best hand.

> 300bb pot win on the river.

> That’s

> 50:1 on our money, and we only needed

But this is how implied odds is an imperfect science.

In our specific example we got 50 to 1, but say the opponent pots turn and river with any hand, but only calls our river raise with top pair.

> Let’s also say our opponent has top pair 20% of the time (just making up a number here).

If that’s the case, our calculation grows more complex.

> On the turn our opponent puts in another 18bbs every time, and on the river our opponent puts in another 54bbs every time, but our raise to 150 is only called 20% of the time.

> Which means that the value of our raise is 30bbs (150x.2).

> So long term, we have to call 6bbs on the flop to win 102bbs (18 on turn + 54 on river bet + 30 from our river raise).

Your implied odds now are not 50 to 1 but 102:6, or 17 to 1. 4:1 we needed to call the flop, so it’s still profitable of course.

But actually the estimations are far more cloudy.

> Let’s say our opponent is just betting the turn with top pair and is turning off at the river with no top pair top kicker?

> Or our opponent is betting top pair on the turn only 70% of the time and is betting the turn as a bluff 15% of the time (with his bluff range)?

> It’s not really possible to sit at the table (or at your computer) looking to estimate the precise implied odds of a play.

At best implied odds are an estimate, and that means never perfect. Whereas pot odds are simple definite math concept.

To try and more accurately “guess” implied odds, we need to think about our opponent’s tendencies (as usual).

> If our opponent is loose and aggressive, our implied odds are usually much higher than our direct odds.

> If our opponent is tight and nitty, our implied odds and direct odds are usually closer.

Overall the idea of implied odds tells us that it is often profitable to draw even if you do not have the direct pure odds to do so.

We have to estimate our implied odds to understand what the “genuine” cutoff is for when chasing our draws is mathematically unprofitable, but this is good guessing in the best case and requires plenty of training to be even OK at.

Fundamentally it is about figuring an opponents range accurately and being able to assess with decent accuracy what he or she will do at each step of a hand with that range, so yes, not easy!

If you have grasped everything up to this stage, you’re doing pretty good. In the next free online poker lesson we’ll look at reverse implied odds.

Alternatively you can go and check out my much longer full lesson on poker math with Calculating Outs, implied odds, reverse implied odds and more at the NoPayPOKER.com free poker online games training blog where you will discover all and get a link to a helpful pro if you’re stuck.

Winning Poker Strategy: Perfecting Your Poker Bluff

Everyone does it but very few do it well. The poker bluff is a refined skill, something that can tilt a game in your favor if used sparingly and at the right time.

In order to learn when is the right time to use your bluff we first have to study the behavior of the other players in the game. It is important to understand the betting habits of those at the table with you in order to execute a well timed bluff. First, establish yourself as a consistent player, show the others playing with you that you don?t make a bad habit of raising when you are holding a pair of deuces or holding back and calling with a full house. Establish your table character so you can use your bluff effectively.

Once you feel you have established your betting identity at a given table and have a good read at the betting habits of others you are now ready for your first bluff. The two players you have marked as quick betters raise with their first bets while at the same time those you have marked as ?rocks? or conservative betters have either called or folded leading to your ideal bluff scenario. Start off with a conservative raise as you are not trying to scare off the ?maniacs? still in the game. If the quick betters once again raise you are now set to begin betting aggressively with the intent of either building the pot or scaring of those faint of heart.

At this point the knowledgeable players remaining in the game will either decide it is time to fold or will counter with a call. The novice player marked as a ?maniac? will se too enthralled with the size of the pot to back out at this time which is exactly what you were hoping for.

The ideal bluff strategy is what is called a semi-bluff, where you may be holding a pair of low numbered cards that offer you a change at winning the pot against the ?maniac? bluffers simply waiting for all the other players to fold.

Using a well executed bluff will also help you with your strong hands, as now the possibility of you bluffing has been shown to the other players. They may go deeper into a game with an average hand knowing there is the possibility you are playing another bluff. Use the bluff sparingly and you time at the table will be much more enjoyable and profitable!

Tips on How to Win Texas Hold ?em Poker

When people speak of poker, there is one name that cuts above the rest of the poker classification?the Texas Hold ?em poker. This type of poker is considered to be the most popular type being played in the casinos today, whether online or in real casinos.

Generally, Texas Hold ?Em Poker starts with a batch of two players situated at the left of the ?dealer button.? This dealer buttons refers to the round disc being passed on clockwise on each player. It signifies who will be dealer in the event that the deal was move forward from one player to another.

The betting starts on the first part of the game where the money is placed into the pot before dealing the cards. Normally, the first blind is the one that places half of the required minimum stake. The first blind refers to the player situated at the left of the dealer. The second blind, on the other hand, is the one responsible in placing the full minimum required bet.

Since the very object of the game is to win whatever is in the pot, it is best to know some rules or strategies so as to get an edge over the other players. Here?s how:

1. The table.

When a player is playing Texas hold ?em poker, the best thing that he or she should consider is selecting the table. This is because players, regardless of their skills in playing the game, will be constrained to give their best shots if the table is too assertive, too rigid or too loose, or if it consists of players that are more skillful.

The bottom line: Even if the essence of winning the game is directly affected by the skills of the player, it is still best to play on a table that has few raisers but many callers.

The logic behind this concept is based on the fact that the more raisers there are in a table, the lesser the chances of winning the game.

2. When a player is in the early position, it is best to raise with K-K, A-K, and A-As, then, with A-Qs, Q-Q, J-J, A-K, T-T, have a call and then fold everything else.

3. For players who already have a remarkable hand starters, especially when he or she has a high pair, say JJ or even higher, it is best not to hesitate raising it before the flop.

Indeed, playing Texas hold ?em poker requires skills also. It is not all based on gambling. This just goes to show that games like this requires both luck and skill to win the pot.